2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the Melbourne Airport Authority, which will overseea proposed $41 million budget next year. Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. 100% agree. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . You have entered an incorrect email address! In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. Macnamara is the new name adopted for the seat known since Federation as Melbourne Ports. Crossing Hotham Street is where you notice an immediate difference. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. The last batch of postal votes broke 26.7% LIB, 28.5% ALP, 33.2% GRN, 11.6% Other. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . Stephen Mayne was the moderator. This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria Melbourne. Melbourne is already a great place, in my opinion. Visit types: Turnaround visits - bold ship name (T)Partial turnaround (>500 pax) - bold ship name bold (pT)Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. In the past 13 years, extensive betterments for residents experiencing flooding have been successful. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. CruiseOps.Melbourne@iss-shipping.com. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. @ Bingo i was not trying to make a political point but when i said Greens underperformed in Albert Park. At Michael Danby's last election in 2016, the Liberals polled 41.9% on first preferences to Labor 27.0% and the Greens 23.8%. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out. Before being won by Josh Burns in 2019, the electorate had been represented by only five members in 113 years. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. But that so far the postals have been better for Labor than the model projects so they are most likely to retain. But Im tipping Burns to hold in a Labor v Greens count. Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. However, its ridiculous to say that the Libs will come third if they dont improve, when they are currently first on the 3CP and all the current batches of votes are tracking to improve their lead. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] Use tab to navigate through the menu items. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. . Just to clarify Daniel, Liberals currently lead Labor by 50 votes on the 3CP, but the rstes at which new votes are breaking, after the Libs outpace Labor 3:1 on minor preferences, is actually adding to that lead, not reducing it. Labor will emphatically opposite it. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. 0:03. First Issue: Restoring the Indian River Lagoon. LIB 30,636 2. The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. Burns was the Labor candidate for Caulfield at the 2014 state election. Harkin undertook secondary schooling was at Presentation College, Windsor, where she was an avid debater and State finals speaker). Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. He served as Deputy Prime Minister for the last four months of the Whitlam government, and retired in 1977. The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. . I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. Bandt increased his primary vote further to 42.6% in 2013, allowing him to overcome the decision of the Liberal Party to reverse past preference recommendations and put Labor ahead of the Greens. But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. The former Labor members are Jim Matthews 1906-1931, E.J.Holloway 1931-1951, Frank Crean 1951-1977, Clyde Holding 1977-1998 and Michael Danby 1998-2019. The Greens are also targetting this seat with the goal of overtaking Labor and winning. This campaigns main areas of focus are in keeping the city government of Melbourne accountable, maintaining the city of Melbourne's reputable business-friendly laws and ensuring lagoon-friendly policies for our residents. To put it simply, the AEC 3CP preference throw, which is now complete for all ballots counted so far, currently has Labor 50 votes behind the Liberals and 495 ahead of the Greens in the 3PP race. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department," Dittmore said. Holloway was secretary of the Melbourne Trades Hall Council, who had stood against Bruce in protest at the government's arbitration policies. Danby, MP for Melbourne Ports since 1998, . Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. I think Albo will be popular come 2025 but Joshs failure to change mental health policy will be damaging in such a progressive seat such as Macnamara. City Council members also could soon discuss the feasibility of building their own city-run fire department. On those boundaries, for decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and Labor usually easily retained it even during severe nationwide defeats for Labor. It might be close but hard to see. Support local journalism. As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. The Greens candidate will again be Steph Hodgins-May, a lawyer who contested Ballarat in 2013, Melbourne Ports in 2016 and Macnamara in 2019. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. Labor need the remaining votes to actually break stronger for them compared to the Libs than they have, to get in front of them. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. ReD Being second to Labour merely guarantees a Labour win. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. But I agree with comments on this blog that both Bowes and Green have not called it for Labour, which does not mean that they believe Greens have it, just that it is too close to call. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. Labor's state and federal executives did not adopt Danby's position. He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. What are the top two to three issues in Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. And all it will take is slightly weaker flows for them, particularly from the postal votes, or just less postal votes being returned, for Labor to stay ahead of them. I will support the septic-to-sewer program, install more baffle boxes, encourage the use of low-impact development, and decrease our dependence on Lake Washington as our water source. Continue with the septic-to-sewer program helping residents who voluntarily want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a reduced cost. What they care about is what matters to me. The two occasions give all candidates a chance to explain their policies and properly address the questions asked by the moderators and audience members. [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. i would part of the story here is that the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared to May. Considering that, I still think Labor are the best position to win and probably will. Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. Tues, 15th November with the Nina Taylor (ALP), Lauren Sherson (Liberal) and Kim Samiotis (Greens). West of Hotham, St Kilda East and Balaclava retain the same urban feeling that the eastern triangle of St Kilda (between the highway and Chapel) and Windsor have: Almost entirely a mix of 3-storey walkup blocks of flats and single fronted terraces, no nature strips, etc. Now we have the Libs ahead of Labor by 137 votes, and the Greens only 208 votes behind, with still the following remaining: Provisionals (always favour Greens) Reports of 1000 Covid votes (both parties expect to favour Greens) Still a total 4648 postals issued but not counted. The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteran William Johnson, who sits on the city's Board of Adjustments. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. (Click on polling place for results). Originally, it was anchored in the industrial suburbs in the west of the electorate, which are part of Labor's heartland in west Melbourne. When this site was originally published, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as 6.1%. As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. In 2016, Labor actually suffered a primary vote swing of four percent and a two-party swing of two percent even as it nearly reduced the Coalition to minority government nationally. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. . Continuing the gradual downwards trend in the Labor primary vote, in the 2013 election, Labor was returned with a primary vote of less than 32 percent. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. 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